long USD/CHF trade is doing quite well, though not yet near its target price . Risk is that bernanke will make any remarks about QE.
Gold's sell-off places a very interesting candle on daily charts, which should place enough pressure on euro that we actually can see the 1.2970's as
a potential target. While I don't trade gold, I will use any upward moves in the metal to establish new shorts in pairs that are commodity based. Still, our carry trade is
working very nicely. GBPUSD is the only problem, because until it retreats from the 1.5900 area it is holding back eur and aud.
IMC- enero
Re: IMC- enero
Re: IMC- enero
Targets on GBP/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/AUD all hit this morning. We are still long EUR/CHF. though we may want to reset this long, due to lack of follow thru.
Its been a good week, even if we had GBP hold things up. Biggest winner has been our carry trade, which we have already made entry orders to re-establish position once it retraces to appropriate level. maybe, we don't make us many pips as the masses, but we are consistant and the analysis is on target.
Re: IMC- enero
New month has us establishing new positions, while we wait for EUR/CHF to come down a bit in order to go long again. One of the new positions we have taken is a long AUD/USD , as clsoe to our price flip area as possible and the only hurdle for the tieme being will be getting past the 1.0700 barrier.
China growth propsects, aside, today's US data was not bad. We feel that this sentiment will help to slow the downside for the aussie, so we should be in good shape to kick-off the new month.
Re: IMC- enero
Long EUR/USD for a target of 1.3270, if Greek swap gets the approval percentage. Afterwards, we will look to fade rally and take the short trade. meanwhile our carry position is again doing well, though we have a hurdle that involves AUD crossing above the 1.0600 area.
Reason for buying into the sell-off was the fact that Upto now this Greece issie has had euro buying up until the events, wheteher it is short covering or risk reversal from global stock sell-off that ocurred yesterday. Risk to our trades for the moment is that USD break above .9200 to the CHF.
Re: IMC- enero
EUR/USD almost hits target and with mins away from interest rate decision we have decided to book profits. carry trade still active and we think that we will get an acceleration in our favor, before the day is over. AUD/USD is lacking and we are running a loss, although we have taken some profits on the majority of those tradaes. Looking for 1.0690 as soon as gold picks up. USD/CHf is comfortably below the .9200 danger area, so we are doing quite well for the moment.
Re: IMC- enero
Pre-NFP status: long AUD/USD @ 1.0624 , target 1.0720( 1.0724 we believe would be the ceiling on this rally, especially if the EUR starts its downward trajectory .If, on the other hand , AUD should take the southern direction, we look to add to long @ 1.0520, stop 1.0480.
On the downward path, we will look to establish a short AUD/JPY position to cover our long aussie trade. Nice thing about that thought is that yen crosses tend to move a lot faster, hence give us a little more reaction time to extrapolate overall sentiment.
Re: IMC- enero
Well, it was bound to happen. The risk to trading data like NFP is that the dollar gets the opposite reaction. Like today, we saw what i believe to be good figures and stocks and USd get a boost. Typically, good employment data for the US results in 'risk on" sentiment. Today, we saw a complete deviation from what has become the norm. For this reason, we were not able to entertain AUD/JPY. We have taken several long trdaes at the 1.0600 area and that has allowed for decent gains, while we continue to play the interest rate differentials onn our primary AUD trades.
Re: IMC- enero
Reverting to basics, where the visual aspects are quite beneficial. So, I have been asked if I will place comments and ideas in the blog, again.
It sounds like a good idea, so if anyone has been using the thoughts and concepts presented thus far, feel free to visit the blog. Para todos lo demas les deseo el triunfo. http://fx-overlays.blogspot.com/
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